I am typically not one to blow my own horn. It has nothing to do with humility really. It’s more the fact that typically when it dawns on me that things have been “going pretty well of late”, Murphy (who hates me) applies his %^&*# Law and, well, I’m sure you can guess what happens next. So I should know better but, to review:
1/11: Fading Natural Gas with UNG Options – Highlighted seasonal tendency for Natural Gas to decline mid-Jan into mid-Feb.
Figure 1 – Ticker UNG fades (Courtesy AIQ TradingExpert)
1/13: Catching the Falling SLV Safe – Detailed a limited risk bottom picking approach to using options on SLV.
Figure 2 – Ticker SLV bottoms out (Courtesy AIQ TradingExpert)
1/19: Blood in the Energy Streets – Highlighted the fact that absolutely nobody anywhere had absolutely anything good to say about energy related assets – a classic contrarian signal.
Figure 3 – XL and USO (Courtesy AIQ TradingExpert)
1/26: Seasonality in Housing Stocks – Highlighted a potentially bullish seasonal trend in housing stocks. After a wash out decline things have improved dramatically.
Figure 4 – Ticker FSHOX (Courtesy AIQ TradingExpert)
1/28: A Two-Fund Portfolio for the Next Three Months – Highlighted the seasonal tendency for energy and retail to rally in the Feb-Apr timeframe.
Figure 5 – Ticker FSHOX (Courtesy AIQ TradingExpert)
2/9: Turning a Short-Term SLV Trade into a Long-Term SLV Trade – Followed up on 1/13 article by adjusting existing option position to lock in a profit and extend the opportunity another 11 months.
Figure 6 – Adjusted SLV option trade (Courtesy www.OptionsAnalysis.com)
(See also Jay’s Trading Maxim’s (Part 1))
Jay Kaeppel
I’d rather see a list of predictions you got wrong rather than ones you got right. Everyone shows calls they [supposedly] got right and many of them are hucksters.
At the very least, if you’re going to show calls you got right then also show calls you got right (preferably in a 1:1 ratio).